Republicans are working to narrow the early voting gap in these states

Republicans are working to narrow the early voting gap in these states

More than 12 million ballot papers were cast in these four states, which could prove crucial in determining the next president.

Candidate schedules reflect the focus on these countries. President Donald Trump And earlier Vice President Joe Biden Both were in Florida on Thursday during their campaign for the state’s 29 votes. Later, Trump was scheduled to travel to North Carolina, while Vice President Mike Pence was scheduled to make his campaign stops in Iowa and Nevada. Biden is due to arrive in Iowa on Friday.

With five days on until November 3, here’s a deeper look at who has already been voted in these key states, with data from Catalist, a company that provides data, analytics and other services to Democrats, academics, and nonprofits to advocate for causes.

Trump won Florida by just over one percentage point in the last round.

Last week, voters under the age of 30 slightly increased their share of early voting in Florida, from 8% to 10%. Other age groups also saw slight increases, reducing the dominance of Florida’s top voters 65 and older, who made up 45% of the first voters a week ago, but now only makes up 39%.

Early voters voting in Florida are a bit more diverse than they were at this time four years ago. The share of Hispanic voters increased in the pre-election vote from 14% four years ago to 16% now, and the share of black voters has increased slightly from 12% then to 13% now. White voters’ vote dropped three points from this point in 2016.

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Republicans are working to narrow the ballot gap before the election. The Democrats are now advancing by four points. A week ago the score was nine points. The party’s advantage isn’t predictive of outcome – but nationwide polls show that many Republicans also prefer to vote in person on Election Day rather than early.

North Carolina

Trump won Tar Hill by more than three percentage points in 2016.

Young people continue to vote in large numbers in North Carolina. Last week, voters under the age of 30 made up about 11% of first-person voters, but now that percentage has risen slightly to over 12%.

The Democrats lost some of their pre-election voting lead. Last week, they had a 12-point advantage over the Republicans on the ballot. Currently, it stands at eight points.

By race, white voters account for the majority of the vote actually cast in North Carolina with 72%, followed by black voters with the second largest share of those votes at 22%. This is still roughly identical to the ethnic composition of the electorate who voted four years earlier.

Yes

Iowa remains a competitive battleground in this session after Trump won Hawke by more than nine percentage points in 2016. The state also has a major race in the Senate between incumbent Republican Johnny Ernst and Democratic challenger Teresa Greenfield.

Democrats continue to vote before the election at a much higher rate than Republicans, similar to 2016. In 49% of the vote before the election, the Democrats are 17 points ahead of the Republicans, who stand at 32%. But Republicans narrowed that gap slightly over the past week, by four points.

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By race, current Iowa voters before the election are similar to this point in 2016, with white voters making up the vast majority of early voters at 94%.

Iowa hasn’t seen as big a shift in the age division as some other states. Voters under the age of 30 make up 10% of all early voters – up just three points from this time four years ago. The number of voters between the ages of 30 and 64 increased by five points, from 42% at this point four years ago to 47% now. Voters 65 and over make up a smaller percentage of first-person voters than it was at this point four years ago.

Nevada

Nevada had little margin of defeat for Trump four years ago, two percentage points behind him and Hillary Clinton.

Nevada early voting voters are turning younger than last week. 11% of the electorate so far is under the age of 30; Last week it was only 9%. Voters 65 or older have gone from 40% of the first voters last week to 35% now.

About two-thirds of the pre-election vote in Nevada comes from white voters, down slightly from 70% four years ago. Hispanic voters make up the second largest share of those votes, at 13%, which is a slight increase from 2016. Black and Asian voters also saw increases of one percentage point in their early voting shares.

Republicans are working to narrow the Democratic vote advantage before the election. Last week, the Democrats had a 12-point lead over the Republicans. With more ballots returned if voting by mail, 42% of the votes cast by the Democrats are now only seven points higher than the Republicans at 35%.

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correction: This story has been updated to reflect Trump’s 2016 defeat in Nevada.

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