The 2020 hurricane season continues to be overdone, as Tropical Storm Zeta increases in strength over the Western Caribbean. The storm is expected to turn into a hurricane on Monday and follow a similar path Delta hurricane, And hit near Cancun and then head towards the North Gulf Coast.
Zeta is the named twenty-seventh system, Which advances more than a month from the record pace that fell in 2005. That year witnessed 28 tropical storms, and the last did not form until the end of December. This puts 2020 on the right track for either a tie or an all-time record for the number of specific storms in the Atlantic in a single season.
On Sunday night, Zeta was slowly improving north off the coast of Honduras, southern Cuba. The maximum wind speed was close to 50 mph and the pressure was dropping steadily, indicating a gradual force. Computer models called for continuous condensation because the system is located above the warmest pool of water in the hemisphere and the upper level winds became more suitable for development.
By Monday, the official forecasts of National Hurricane Center Hurricane Zeta is expected to be low, but not as strong as Hurricane Delta just weeks ago. The system will make landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula near Cancun and Cozumel on Monday night and Tuesday morning. Like a delta, it will weaken briefly on Earth.
On Tuesday, as the system re-emerges over the waters of the Gulf of Mexico, it will regain a little bit of strength again, and it will likely regain hurricane intensity and stay that way until Wednesday morning as it moves north. On Wednesday, however, it should face strong upper-level winds as it approaches the Gulf Coast, as the official forecast calls for slight weakness on the downside on Wednesday afternoon.
The National Hurricane Center prediction cone shows landfall anywhere between southeastern Louisiana and the western Florida Panhandle. It will be the eighth storm to land along the Gulf Coast this season, with the highest concentration in Louisiana.
As of Sunday night, it appears that Zeta will be a strong tropical storm or possibly a very low-lying hurricane on land. The general rule is that the residents near the strike area should always prepare for a higher class than expected.
The 2020 season is the fifth consecutive season with much higher storm activity than normal – the normal range is 12 named storms. While science is not sure the number of storms will increase due to human-induced climate change, indications are pointing in this direction. What is more certain is that the number of severe storms will continue to increase as ocean temperatures continue to rise.
In the Atlantic, the chance of any given storm(Class 3,4 or 5) is now twice as likely as it was in the 1980s, which shows just how much warmer ocean water is.